Obama vs. McCain Electoral-College Forecasting

A list of websites (from Italian blog “noisefromAmerika“) devoted to more serious US election forecasting than the usual, absolutely pointless nationwide polls: for the simple reasons that Presidents are elected via the Electoral College system, not directly.

• Andrea Moro’s 2008 election forecasts (currently: Obama’s winning probability 98.3%)
• The Princeton Election Consortium (currently: Obama 300 votes. McCain 238)
• University of Iowa’s Winner-Takes-All Market (currently: Obama 56.5%. McCain 43.5%)
• RealClearPolitics Electoral College (currently: Obama 273 votes. McCain 265)
• FiveThirtyEight’s Projections (currently: Obama 61.2%. McCain 38.8%)
• Intrade’s Prediction Market (currently: Obama 52.1%. McCain 47.5%)

The Big Lies of the 2008 US Presidential Election

• John McCain is not as conservative as he tries so hard to make you believe
• Barack Obama is not as conservative as he tries so hard to make you believe

And no, there’s no typo in the text above…

Obama’s Swift Riposte to McCain’s Challenge

NOTE ADDED SEP 8: Gov. Palin’s Vogue cover below is a fake

Denver, Aug 31 (MNN) – Sen. Barack Obama, Democratic Nominee for the 2008 US Presidential Election, has recruited today two well-known characters to fight back the unexpected challenge from the youth/women side by Sen. John McCain and his VP choice, Gov. Sarah Palin.

Sen. Obama said he was very glad to introduce, in the newly-created positions of Vice-Vice-Presidents, Betty Boop and Swee’Pea.

His remarks may cause controversy though (“Betty would look better on Vogue!” and “Swee’Pea’s got much less experience in foreign or any other matters“) .

According to uninformed sources, Sen. McCain is planning to up the ante by revealing that he himself years ago was in a Hollywood blockbuster (the second episode of Jurassic Park), playing a character named “Kelly Curtis Malcolm” …