Maurizio – Omnologos

Where no subject is left unturned

World Exclusive: CIA 1974 Document Reveals Emptiness of AGW Scares, Closes Debate On Global Cooling Consensus (And More…)

with 5 comments

(originally published on Dec 3 in my climate blog)

An eye-opening “global cooling consensus” CIA document dated 1974 has just been re-discovered in the British Library by Yours Truly and is extensively mentioned today in the (printed) pages of The Spectator (UK) and Il Foglio (Italy).

(the (suitably degraded) scan of the Spectator article is at the bottom of this blog)

(the PDF of the CIA document is now available online thanks to Guido Guidi and Climate Monitor)

A Study of Climatological Research as it Pertains to Intelligence Problems” will make quite an embarrassing reading, especially for:

  • the most obdurate catastro-warmists (when they will notice that almost all AGW scares are a search-and-replace job from “cooling” to “warming”), and
  • the history deniers fixated on ‘demonstrating’ that a scientific consensus about Global Cooling in the 1970’s were a ‘myth'(*)

And there is more (much more), from ever-improving climate models promising to become good in a few years’ time to the unsettling apparent ease with which Government agencies then (as now) could get scientists to agree on whatever they needed them to agree on.

Nobody aware of the CIA document’s contents should be able to avoid a good chuckle after reading any of the current AGW reports on famine, starvation, refugee crises, floods, droughts, crop and monsoon failures, and all sorts of extreme weather phenomena; on climate-related major economic problems around the world; on Africans getting in climate troubles first; and so on and so forth.

Why? Because it is all too clear that those scares cannot be real, since they have already been mentioned verbatim in all their dramatic effect, but about Global Cooling.

The whole lot of them, they are just empty threats, instruments of doom-and-gloom policy manipulation with no relation to reality.

It is deeply ironic that it takes a 35-year-old document, available on the web so far only in title, to show the absolute vacuity of the vast majority of pre-COP15 reports and studies. It is time to ditch everything we hear about collapsing ice sheets, disappearing glaciers, species extinctions, and each and every “it’s worse than we thought” report by “scientists”.

It is time to become climate adults.

As I wrote for The Spectator:

This might be the most important lesson of the 1974 report on global cooling: that we need to grow up, separate climatology from fear, and recognise – much as it pains politicians and scientists – that our understanding of how climate changes remains in its infancy.

(stay tuned for the full text of the Spectator article, and the PDF of the PDF of the CIA document)

(*) Anybody thinking about Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck’s largely mistitled “The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus” (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 89, Issue 9, September 2008, pp 1325-1337)? Well, think again after reading this little gem of theirs:

By the early 1970s, when Mitchell updated his work (Mitchell 1972), the notion of a global cooling trend was widely accepted, albeit poorly understood

As I wrote a little more than a year ago: “Widely accepted”: check. “Global cooling”: check.. There was a global cooling consensus among scientists, at least up to 1974. And it went on to appear in Newsweek, The Washington Post, The New York Times and many more media outlets around the world, at least up to 1976.

CASE CLOSED.

=========

This is the scanned Spectator article

The CIA's 'global cooling' files (title)

The CIA's 'global cooling' files (text)

5 Responses

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  1. The problem of course comes from those who label scientists “stooges” and “frauds” and who insist they be tried criminally for venting in private e-mails. Had the discussion remained rational, the skeptics might have been allowed into the halls of science by now.

    In fact, the only ticket necessary to get into the halls of science is to have some contrary data. Was the Earth cooling when those files were made? Was the international danger from cooler climate?

    Make a case, don’t be snotty, maybe someone will listen.

    [Yeah, I read your comment at WUWT]

    Ed Darrell

    2010/Apr/10 at 13:51:02

  2. “Why? Because it is all too clear that those scares cannot be real, since they have already been mentioned verbatim in all their dramatic effect, but about Global Cooling.”

    So let me get this straight. Because someone shouted “Wolf!” once and there was no wolf, then there can’t possibly be a wolf there at all.

    “The whole lot of them, they are just empty threats, instruments of doom-and-gloom policy manipulation with no relation to reality.”

    Well there you go. Final irrefutable proof that AGW is just a lefty tree hugger plot. Surely now the great Maurizio Morabito, one man debunkerator of the Big AGW Lie, can claim his Nobel prize for the scientific discovery of the century!
    Oh sorry forgot,you have to have peer reviewed up to date work to get a Nobel prize. Epic fail you arrogant big head.

    Robert Plauser

    2010/Jun/14 at 13:16:46

    • We are not talking “wolves” here…we are talking about droughts foretold as consequences of cooling, and then of droughts foretold as consequences of warming. Sometimes (eg Schneider) by the very same people. How many times should one be led by his nose before noticing it??

      omnologos

      2010/Jun/23 at 21:49:41

  3. […] desperation to prove a consensus is nothing new for Omniclimate. Last year he touted “World Exclusive: CIA 1974 Document Reveals Emptiness of AGW Scares, Closes Debate On Global Cooling …“, in which he states: “A Study of Climatological Research as it Pertains to Intelligence […]


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